Half or more of all completed home sales this year in these cities were distressed — a factor that pulls the prices of non-distressed homes.
The Council on Foreign Relations polled economists to identify five trends to watch in the coming year. They all fall under the increasingly common
2012 and 2013 forecast from the National Association of Realtors by Dr. Lawrence Yen
DOUBLE GOOD: Jobs up and Unemployment down.
ECONOMIC FORECASTS 2012 Economic Forecasts become available at the end and beginning of each year. Below are important links to forecasts. Print Friendly
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FROM THE EDITOR:
In addition to several important economic announcements on the calendar this week, there are two Republican debates, and on Tuesday night is President Obama’s forth State of the Union which will have a look into his plans for the balance of the year.
This week the Pending Sales of Existing Homes will be announced on Wednesday as a leading indicator with perhaps a continuing positive trend. The FOMC announcement on Wednesday is not expected to make new news. Follwing the November 3.7% increase in Durable Goods, the announcement coming on Thursday will be important to watch.
Initial jobless claims fell 50,000 in the January 14 week to 352,000 for the biggest drop since September 2005 when economic expansion was in full gear. Watch on Thursday to see if the positive trend will continue or was a fractal to be corrected. On Thursday we will get a first look at the Conference Boards completely revamped Leading Indicator Index.
All eyes will be on the 8:30 Friday GDP announcement to see the if there will be improvement from the 1.8% from the previous month.
Later on Friday the all important Consumer Confidence Index will be announced. Remember that the since September the index has been moving straight up defying all the efforts of the Republican candidates to paint the U.S. economy flat black or worse. In Dr. Barton Smith’s speech in Houston last Thursday he indicated that confident is at the root of all growth and lack of confidence is fundamental to decline. It is unfortunate that the deafening drum beat is pure disaster adding to the confidence problem.
Joe Watson, Editor: Just IN, The Economic News
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